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Video Slides:
Sep 11, 2026 ... Euro Energy about to break out w/ new highs again expanding. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Strategas Sentiment Dashboard Weekly Median Percentile of Inputs OUR SENTIMENT COMPOSITE IS OFF THE BOIL... 57 th PERCENTILE Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 33 9/11/2026 Excessive Optimism Excessive Pessimism 57 th percentile Equity ETF Flows S&P Futures Positioning 10-Day Put/Call Ratio VIX Curve I.I. Bull / Bear Ratio Consensus % Bullish AAII Bull/Bear Ratio Policy ...
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5 Ideas Featuring ETFs & Options:
Sep 10, 2026
ETF Research Thursday, September 10, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas.com 5 IDEAS FEATURING ETFs & OPTIONS Today, we're featuring five trades from our Options team focused on key areas from our ETF work. Please don't hesitate to reach out to myself or Brandon Kobelt, Laurent Laskowski, and Josh Miller from the Options team for more info. Semis: Tech and Semi ETF flows have moderated over recent days, and while hardly a major change, it's on our radar. ...
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Sloppy Tape Not Benefitting Defensives, Energy Charts Still Good, &
Semi/Software Pair Bouncing:
Sep 9, 2026 Also in Today's Report - 1) Bitcoin w/ positive trend change; 2) 6m relative low for Defense ETF (ITA); 3) Housing names remain weak, Travel also. SLOPPY TAPE... JUST 28% ABOVE THE 20-DAY MOVING AVERAGE Proprietary Information - Please Do ... LOW FOR DEFENSE Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 19 9/9/2026 Aerospace & Defense ETF: ITA 50 & 200-Day MA ITA Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals Overbought / Oversold 6-month relative breakdown. ...
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Market / Economic / Policy Webcast... Today, Tuesday Sep. 8th, 10:10am Est.:
Sep 8, 2026 ... GLOBALLY, BRAZIL TURNING UP AGAIN Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 11 9/8/2026 Brazil ETF: EWZ 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals ✓ Fresh breakout and trend change for the EWZ... is the election now priced in? TAIWAN MAKING NEW HIGHS... Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 12 9/8/2026 Taiwan ETF: EWT 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals ✓ After a ...
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September ETF Charts: Flows, Launches, and Leverage:
Sep 8, 2026 Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Tuesday, September 8, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas.com SEPTEMBER ETF CHARTS: FLOWS, LAUNCHES, & LEVERAGE Welcome to September, here's what we believe you should know from the ETF universe. Measuring ETF activity. We believe ETFs are a great tool for measuring investor behavior and one that wasn't as pervasive in recent decades. We've designed a ...
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Video Slides:
Sep 4, 2026 ... Both internally oversold, but bar for improvement now higher w/ trends softer. Prefer Equities > Commodity. THE NEXT ROTATION? SURE LOOKS LIKE MAG 7 WANTS TO BREAK OUT Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 9 9/4/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA MAGS Relative to SMH Positive / Negative Trend Signals Overbought / Oversold 4-month relative high for MAGS/SMH. $71.16 We've termed this the "revenge of the funders." IMPORTANT CHART... NVDA CLOSE TO ...
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Industrials, Energy, Managed Care & Real Estate Stocks Moving With Election
Expectations:
Sep 3, 2026 ... 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Jul-25 Nov-25 Mar-26 Jul-26 XHB Homebuilders ETF relative to S&P 500 & Betting Odds of a Dem Sweep Dem Sweep Odds (Right Axis, Inverted) Homebuilders rel S&P ... 46% 48% 50% 52% 54% 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26 Jul-26 Aug-26 Sep-26 DTCR Data Center ETF rel S&P 500 DTCR Data Center ETF rel S&P 500 Dem Sweep Odds (Right, Inverted) Source: Factset $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 '14 '15 '16 ...
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Financial Repression and Stock Prices:
Sep 1, 2026 ... Sam and corporate America remain restrained but persistent and potentially growing inflation due to the war may render real interest rates too low rather than too high. 9. Widening credit spreads ✓ ✓ x High-yield and investment grade credit spreads remain tight by any historical standard. 2. Heavy inflows into equity market funds ✓ ✓ ✓ Elevated flows into Equity ETFs reflect not only broad bullish sentiment but also a structural transition away from mutual funds. ...
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Always Better Playing with a Lead, Test Coming For Small vs. Large, & Some
Surprising Charts:
Sep 1, 2026 ... / Oversold Overbought, but now against the backdrop of an uptrend. Latest move > $506 recovers about 3/4ths of decline. 7/31/25 6/25/26 ✓ 6-month relative high. WILL THIS FOLLOW MSFT's LEAD? Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 10 9/1/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals MAGS has largely been off the playing field since last Fall. That said, a break & hold > $70 would improve the chart here. ?? ...
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As August Ends, All Eyes on Job Numbers and September Seasonality:
Aug 31, 2026 By contrast, the S&P 500 equal weight index finished the week down -0.46%, and the Russell 2000 ended down -1.51%. Interestingly, semiconductors, as measured by the SMH ETF, finished the week down -1.30%, as NVDA gave back most of its ... Crude oil also remains well supported amid the ongoing conflict with Iran. It will also be interesting to see whether software can sustain last week's momentum, after the Software ETF IGV posted its best day since April 9, 2025, rising ...
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