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The China Trade Election: Mar 27, 2024
... Our expectation is that India and Trump correlating will resume into the election. 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 52% 54% 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 101 103 105 Dec '22 Mar '23 Jun '23 Sep '23 Dec '23 Mar '24 iShares MSCI India ETF Rel S&P 500 & ... 110 115 120 125 130 135 Mar '22 Jun '22 Sep '22 Dec '22 Mar '23 Jun '23 Sep '23 Dec '23 Mar '24 iShares MSCI Mexico ETF Rel S&P 500 & PredictIt Odds Of Democratic President iShares Mexico Rel S&P 500, Left PredictIt Dem President Odds, ...

8-Months Since The Fed Pause... Long Duration Down, Tech Flows Up: Mar 26, 2024
Real Estate Tech Sector ETF Flows ($MM) Since Fed Pause Last 250-Days Strategas ETF Research Please Do Not Redistribute See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Tuesday, March 26, 2024 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com 8-MONTHS SINCE THE FED PAUSE... LONG DURATION DOWN, TECH FLOWS UP Ryan Grabinski's last Thursday Daily Macro Brief noted how the current Fed rate pause ranks 2 nd in duration historically (behind 2006-07 now). ...

Sector Research: Financials: Mar 21, 2024
Use any 2Q weakness opportunistically with internal trends firm across the board and sector ETF flows reflecting agnostic ... ETF flows are hardly an endorsement. We find that supportive from a sentiment perspective. Financials Sector ETF Flows Rolling 6-Month Sum, $MM +2 Standard Deviations -2 Standard Deviations Significant Difference Among Group Trends Strategas Securities - Global Asset Allocation & Sector Research Please Do Not Redistribute 7 3/21/2024 Insurance ETF 50 ...

"AI" Not Great At Managing Money: Mar 20, 2024
The challenge to underweighting the names is that in and of itself is a bet against the theme. 9 Of The 15 U.S. "AI" Stocks Expected To See Net Income Deceleration In 2025 Looking at the top 15 U.S. equity holdings in "AI" related ETFs ... out to me that the ticker AIEQ is an "AI Powered Equity ETF" utilizing IBM's Watsons Platform for security selection and since the beginning of 2023 when the "AI" craze really began to take off it has underperformed by more than 10%. ...

Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are The Real Deal: Mar 19, 2024
Ticker YTD Flow Decile Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOO $23,175 iShares Bitcoin Trust IBIT $12,964 1 iShares Core S&P 500 ETF IVV $10,143 Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF VTI $8,260 Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 QQQ $8,176 Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund FBTC $6,879 1 BlackRock U.S. Equity Factor Rotation ETF DYNF $6,428 SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF SPLG $4,674 Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF VGIT $4,454 iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF IUSB $4,263 iShares S&P 500 Value ETF ...

Asset Allocation: March Update: Mar 18, 2024
... 60% 36% 59% 36% International 40% 24% 41% 24% 100% 60% 100% 60% Strategas Portfolio Exposures Dev AC Core 28% 17% 30% 18% iShares MSCI EAFE Core ETF (IEFA) US LC Value 20% 12% 19% 11% iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) US LC Core 16% 10% 15% 9% iShares S&P 500 Core ETF (IVV) US LC Growth 18% 11% 18% 11% iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) EM AC Core 12% 7% 11% 7% iShares MSCI EM Core ETF (IEMG) US MC Value 4% 2% 3% 2% iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value ETF (IJJ) US SC Core 1% 1% 1% ...

Small Cap Chartbook: Mar 18, 2024
... - Investment Strategy PLEASE DO NOT REDISTRIBUTE 6 10) OUR ETF STRATEGIST REMINDS US THERE IS LARGE OPPORTUNITY IN ACTIVE SMALL CAP 11) IT'S ONE AREA WHERE ETF GROWTH HAS LAGGED $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 ... $500,000 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 Small-Cap ETF AUM ($ MM) Total Passive Active Actively managed small cap mutual funds have $584 Bn AUM (76% of total)... ...while active small cap ETFs are at just $31 Bn. ...

Video Slides: Mar 15, 2024
... RELATIVE TREND CHANGE FOR ADBE (NEGATIVE) Strategas Technical & Macro Research 15 3/15/2024 Adobe Inc: ADBE 50 & 200-Day MA ADBE Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Model Arrows We remain negative here, particularly as ADBE's relative trend deteriorates. HUGE VOLUME INTO THE LEVERED SEMI & TECH ETFs Strategas Technical & Macro Research 16 3/15/2024 Direxion Semiconductors Bull 3x ETF (SOXL) ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) In addition to the aggressive Tech flows, Todd ...

Active vs. Passive Chartbook: Mar 14, 2024
83.9% 5.2% 63.4% 6.5% 70.0% 51.6% 87.9% 16.1% 94.8% 36.6% 93.5% 30.0% 48.4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Fixed Income ETFs Fixed Income Mutual Funds Equity ETFs Equity Mutual Funds ETFs Mutual Funds Mutual Funds + ETFs Active vs. Passive % of AUM Passive % Active % Strategas ETF Research Please Do Not Redistribute See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Thursday, March 14, 2024 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 ...

Rates Noisy, Copper & KWEB Breaking Out: Mar 13, 2024
QQQ pair is also turning higher. Also in Today's Report - 1) Huge volume into levered Semi ETFs; 2) Is it the NVDA chart? ... VERY STRONG DAY FOR KWEB Strategas Technical & Macro Research Please Do Not Redistribute 6 3/13/2024 China Internet ETF: ... change above $80. HUGE VOLUME INTO THE LEVERED SEMI & TECH ETFs Strategas Technical & Macro Research Please Do Not Redistribute 9 3/13/2024 Direxion Semiconductors Bull 3x ETF (SOXL) ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) In addition to the ...
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