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Are The Odds In Prediction Markets' Favor?:
Apr 10, 2026 ... - Please Do Not Redistribute 6 SPORTS NAMES HAVE MOVED WITH CONSUMER STIMULUS, WHICH IS ON THE RISE 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 84 89 94 99 104 109 Jan '23 Jul '23 Jan '24 Jul '24 Jan '25 Jul '25 Jan '26 Gabelli Sports ETF (GOLS) Equal Weight Relative ACWI & Strategas Consumer Stimulus Indicator (Gabelli Index Ran Equal-Weight, In USD) GOLS (equal weight) Rel ACWI Strategas Consumer Stimulus Indicator (Right) $9.5 $2.4 $(0.5) $4.4 $(0.1) $18.3 $1.0 $(0.7) ...
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Video Slides:
Apr 10, 2026 ... USDMXN SWIFTLY REJECTED AT 200-DAY MA Strategas Technical & Macro Research 31 4/10/2026 USDMXN 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals SPEAKING OF LAT-AM... CONTINUES TO ACT GREAT Strategas Technical & Macro Research 32 4/10/2026 Lat-Am 40 ETF: ILF 50 & 200-Day MA ILF Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals Overbought / Oversold ✓ Country Index Trend Date of Px High Israel Tel Aviv 35 ↑ Apr. '26 Brazil Bovespa ↑ Apr. ...
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Fight Or Flight From Financials, Part Deux:
Apr 9, 2026 Healthcare Real Estate Tech Materials Energy Industrials Sector ETF Flows ($MM) Since Oct. '25 Tech Peak Since U.S. - Iran Conflict Strategas ETF Research See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Thursday, April 9, 2026 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com FIGHT OR FLIGHT FOR FINANCIALS, PART DEUX Roughly 1-month ago we titled a note Fight Or Flight For Financials, and the response thus far has been towards the former. ...
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Strategas Treasury Market Balance Sheet:
Apr 8, 2026 Long Neutral Short Asset Manager/ Lev Funds Net Positions FFR Futures Vol + OI Options on Tsy Futures OI MOVE Index & Bond ETF Volatility Shorter Duration Futures OI 1M Tsy Futures OI Skews Note/... NEUTRAL 4/8/26 Please see the Appendix for important disclosures. BOND MARKET VOLATILITY: MOVE INDEX & BOND ETF ATM IMPLIED VOLATILITY Broad bond volatility has popped, but volatility on major ETFs remains around the midpoint of recent years. We're keeping this as long for now, but ...
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ETF Flows Reflect Rising Unease:
Apr 7, 2026 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 Equity ETF Flows Percentile 1-Year Lookback Strategas ETF Research See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Tuesday, April 7, 2026 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com FLOWS REFLECT RISING UNEASE What to know from the ETF universe today... 1) Volatility Up = Flows Cooling... recent rebalancing can bring noise to daily equity ETF flows but regardless, equity ...
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Private Equity Rush In ETFs Is On; Plus, Consumer Charts Of Note:
Apr 2, 2026 -$5,000 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 Discretionary Communications Financials Utilities Staples Healthcare Real Estate Tech Materials Industrials Energy Sector ETF Flows ($MM) YTD '26 10/29 Tech Peak Strategas ETF Research See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Thursday, April 2, 2026 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com PRIVATE EQUITY RUSH IN ETFs IS ON; CONSUMER CHARTS OF NOTE We interrupt our normal Thursday sector schedule ...
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Quarterly Review in Charts: 1Q 2026:
Apr 1, 2026 ... 40% 24% 37% 22% 100% 60% 100% 60% Strategas Asset Allocation SMA Portfolio Exposures Dev AC Core 26% 16% 26% 16% iShares MSCI EAFE Core ETF (IEFA) US LC Growth 24% 14% 27% 16% iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) US LC Value 20% 12% 19% 11% iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) EM AC Core 14% 8% 11% 7% iShares MSCI EM Core ETF (IEMG) US LC Core 10% 6% 12% 7% iShares S&P 500 Core ETF (IVV) US MC Value 3% 2% 2% 1% iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value ETF (IJJ) US SC Core 2% 1% 1% 1% ...
| Author: |
Jason De Sena Trennert (212) 906-0133 jtrennert@strategasrp.com
Ryan Grabinski (646) 292-7910 rgrabinki@strategasrp.com
Nicholas Bohnsack (212) 906-0132 nbohnsack@strategasrp.com
Don Rissmiller (212) 906-0134 drissmiller@strategasrp.com
Daniel Clifton (202) 290-8262 dclifton@strategasrp.com
Tom Tzitzouris (202) 223-7646 ttzitzouris@strategasrp.com
Laurent Laskowski, CFA (646) 292-7990 llaskowski@strategasrp.com |
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Predicting When The Iran Conflict Will End:
Apr 1, 2026 ... Global alliances are shifting. 10% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 1/9 1/20 1/31 2/11 2/22 3/5 3/16 3/27 Betting Odds: Will NATO Dissolve This Year? (Polymarket) 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Jan '21 Jul '21 Jan '22 Jul '22 Jan '23 Jul '23 Jan '24 Jul '24 Jan '25 Jul '25 Jan '26 European Defense Stocks Relative to US Defense Stocks Constituents are the top 15 constituents in the WisdomTree Europe Defense Fund (WDEF) and iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), ran equally-weighted Trump ...
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Key Charts + ETFs To Consider For 2Q '26:
Mar 31, 2026 Semis Banks E.M. Nuclear REITs Regional Banks Private Asset Mgrs Japan TSY Bonds Silver Gold Equal Weight R1000 Global Miners Low Vol S. Korea Utilities Energy Oil ETF 3-Month Z-Score Strategas ETF Research See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Tuesday, March 31, 2026 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com KEY CHARTS + ETFs TO CONSIDER: 2Q '26 With the start of a new quarter, we highlight a handful of ETFs to consider ...
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What's Changed & What Hasn't?:
Mar 30, 2026 ... STILL WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME MORE STRESS FROM PUT/CALLS Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 5 3/30/2026 S&P 500 50 & 200-Day MA Daily Put/Call Ratio 10-Day Average 95 th Percentile 95 th Percentile Still would prefer to see put/calls express some more stress... not the case yet. Equity ETF Flows S&P Futures Positioning 10-Day Put/Call Ratio VIX Curve I.I. Bull / Bear Ratio Consensus % Bullish AAII Bull/Bear Ratio Policy ...
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