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Small-Cap ETFs: What Now?:
Oct 15, 2026 Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Thursday, October 15, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas.com SMALL-CAP ETFs: WHAT NOW? Over the last 3-months small relative large-cap ETF performance has moved into the basement of historical ... The tricky element now is the flows backdrop is far different from the last time the relative data hit similar levels... total small-cap ETF flows were ...
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What Seems Implausible, But Is Not Impossible:
Oct 14, 2026 ... Not a call, just a reminder that even what seems implausible is not impossible in this business. HYPERSCALERS CONTINUE TO ACT WELL... 6M RELATIVE HIGHS Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 3 10/14/2026 MAG 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA MAGS Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals & 6-Month High Line ✓ KOSPI Peaked Right Here... Dem Senate Odds Broke Out Here 6-month relative highs for MAG 7 yesterday. AAPL RIGHT BACK TO THE HIGHS... Proprietary ...
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Cyclical Unease and Thematic Unwind:
Oct 13, 2026 20 40 60 80 100 High vs. Low Beta ETFs Z-Score Cyclical - Defensive Sector Flows Lev. Long to Inverse $ Vol. Levered Long AUM Lev. Long to Inverse AUM Ratio T-Bill ETF Flows Equity - Bond ETF Flows Equity ETF Flows Percentile ETF Activity Barometer Prepared by Baird Strategas LLC, FINRA member. Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Tuesday, October 13, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas....
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Earnings Season Kicks Off with CPI and Options Expiration in Focus:
Oct 12, 2026 The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index outperformed, gaining +1.57%. The S&P 500 10-day realized volatility ended lower at 7.4, while the VIX closed the week at 14.84. The 10-year yield declined to 5.24% from 5.27%, amid lower volatility, with the MOVE Index falling to 98.47 from 107.29. ETF Description Sep 25, 2026 Oct 2, 2026 Oct 9, 2026 SPY S&P 500 1.27% -0.22% 1.16% XLK Technology 3.64% 1.80% -0.52% XLY Cons. Disc. -0.21% -0.47% 2.55% XLC Com. Serv. 2.26% -2.34% 0.05% XLF ...
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Global Picture More Discerning, Big Week For An Oversold Financials Sector:
Oct 12, 2026 ... Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 5 10/12/2026 S&P 500 50 & 200-Day MA & 3-Month Low Line Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals 7697 7508 7314 There are blemishes around the edges, but the trend remains up for the major indices. DOESN'T NEED TO LEAD, BUT IMPORTANT RSP HOLDS Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 6 10/12/2026 Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF: RSP 50 & 200-Day MA & 3-Month Low Line Overbought / Oversold ...
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4Q ETF Focus List + Key Charts:
Oct 6, 2026 20 40 60 80 100 High vs. Low Beta ETFs Z-Score Cyclical - Defensive Sector Flows Lev. Long to Inverse $ Vol. Levered Long AUM Lev. Long to Inverse AUM Ratio T-Bill ETF Flows Equity - Bond ETF Flows Equity ETF Flows Percentile ETF Activity Barometer Prepared by Baird Strategas LLC, FINRA member. Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Tuesday, October 6, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas.c...
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Calm Week Ahead Before Earnings Season:
Oct 5, 2026 such as outright December calls on Tech/AI single stocks and concentrated ETFs, while acknowledging that demand for calls may present headwinds during ... The VIX Index closed at 15.31, and the VIXEQ Index closed at 37.96. 3Q '26 Return ETF Description Sep 18, 2026 Sep 25, 2026 Oct 2, 2026 SPY S&P 500 -0.09% 1.27% ... maintaining our recent constructive stance, favoring upside exposure to Tech/AI single stocks and ETFs while looking at IWM put spreads for downside exposure. ...
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Sept. Market Balance Sheet: Bearish Signal This Month:
Oct 2, 2026 ... We are forecasting S&P operating earnings of $407 in 2027 and a target price of 8,140 for the Index (assuming a 20x multiple). Sentiment Our overall sentiment work has backed off from recent extremes, but there are a few areas that leave us uncomfortable. Sector flows continue to heavily favor Tech, and levered ETF exposure is on the goal line of a new high. Option skews are heavily favored towards calls and investor survey data - while slightly less enthusiastic recently - ...
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Video Slides:
Oct 2, 2026 ... Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals MAG 7 AT THE HIGHS... Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 6 10/2/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA ✓ We've been bullish on MAG 7 and the chart is now validating. ... 99 th Percentile Equity ETF Flows S&P Futures Positioning 10-Day Put/Call Ratio VIX Curve I.I. Bull / Bear Ratio Consensus % Bullish AAII Bull/Bear Ratio Policy Uncertainty Median Percentile Strategas Sentiment Dashboard Current Reading vs. ...
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