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Potential End Of Quarter Chop, Better Seasonality In October:
Sep 28, 2026 the VIXEQ Index rose to 38.46 from 36.38 the week before. ETF Description Sep 11, 2026 Sep 18, 2026 Sep 25, 2026 SPY S&P ... volatility remain very subdued for the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), with one-month implied volatility at the 15 th ... This is particularly evident in Tech/AI-related names. For example, the semiconductor ETF SMH experienced a spot-up/... We remain constructive and would use the still- low volatility in Tech/AI names and concentrated ETFs such as SMH and ...
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Potential End Of Quarter Chop, Better Seasonality In October:
Sep 28, 2026 the VIXEQ Index rose to 38.46 from 36.38 the week before. ETF Description Sep 11, 2026 Sep 18, 2026 Sep 25, 2026 SPY S&P ... volatility remain very subdued for the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), with one-month implied volatility at the 15 th ... This is particularly evident in Tech/AI-related names. For example, the semiconductor ETF SMH experienced a spot-up/... We remain constructive and would use the still- low volatility in Tech/AI names and concentrated ETFs such as SMH and ...
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Data Center Election Impact More Likely To Be Driven By Gubernatorial Than
Congressional Races:
Sep 28, 2026 2026 DATA CENTER ELECTION IMPACT MORE LIKELY TO BE DRIVEN BY GUBERNATORIAL RACES THAN CONGRESSIONAL RACES 72 74 76 78 80 82 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 8/16 8/21 8/26 8/31 9/5 9/10 9/15 9/20 9/25 Average Betting Odds Lead of Democratic Governors in Data Center States & SRVR Datacenter ETF rel S&P 500 Avg Dem Governor Lead (Left) SRVR rel S&P 500 (Right, Inverted) We spent this weekend with an august group of investors at Baird Strategas' 12 th Annual Tuckers Point retreat. ...
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Emphasizing The Leaders & Covering Shorts in Utilities Sector:
Sep 28, 2026 ... Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 9/28/2026 10 MAG 7 BROKE OUT LAST WEEK Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 11 9/28/2026 MAG 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA MAGS Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals Overbought / Oversold ✓ Difficult to be too bearish when the largest stocks are reemerging from a long consolidation. MSFT HAS SUCCESSFULLY BURNED OFF THE OVERBOUGHT CONDITION Proprietary Information - Please Do Not ...
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Leverage On The Rise Again:
Sep 28, 2026 20 40 60 80 100 High vs. Low Beta ETFs Z-Score Cyclical - Defensive Sector Flows Lev. Long to Inverse $ Vol. Levered Long AUM Lev. Long to Inverse AUM Ratio T-Bill ETF Flows Equity - Bond ETF Flows Equity ETF Flows Percentile ETF Activity Barometer Prepared by Baird Strategas LLC, FINRA member. Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Monday, September 28, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 ...
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Video Slides:
Sep 25, 2026 ... 9 9/25/2026 Excessive Optimism Excessive Pessimism 56 th percentile DECISIVE BREAKOUT FOR MAG 7... 4Q MELT-UP? Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 10 9/25/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA Daily % Change with +/- 2 Std. ... TAIWAN QUICK TO NEW PRICE & RELATIVE HIGHS Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 40 9/25/2026 MSCI Taiwan ETF: EWT 50 & 200-Day MA Taiwan: EWT Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals MEANWHILE, CHINA WEAK BOTH ...
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Midterm Election Update: 40 Days to Go:
Sep 24, 2026 ... 135 140 145 150 155 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26 Jul-26 Aug-26 Sep-26 DTCR Data Center ETF rel S&P 500 DTCR Data Center ETF rel S&P 500 Dem Sweep Odds (Right, Inverted) Source: Factset 9/24/26 Proprietary ... DKNG DraftKings State Budget MUB iShares Municipal Bond ETF If Democrats succeed in punting Medicaid changes and providing more SNAP funds, state budgets will be a beneficiary as they won't have to make up for a shortfall in funding. AGO Assured Guaranty HYD VanEck HY Muni Bond ETF ...
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Three Questions From Recent Travels:
Sep 23, 2026 20 40 60 80 100 High vs. Low Beta ETFs Z-Score Cyclical - Defensive Sector Flows Lev. Long to Inverse $ Vol. Levered Long AUM Lev. Long to Inverse AUM Ratio T-Bill ETF Flows Equity - Bond ETF Flows Equity ETF Flows Percentile ETF Activity Barometer Prepared by Baird Strategas LLC, FINRA member. Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Wednesday, September 23, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 ...
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Decisive Mag 7 Breakout, Credit Will Tell Us If / When Fed Goes Too Far:
Sep 22, 2026 DECISIVE BREAKOUT FOR MAG 7 WITH +2 SIGMA ADVANCE Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 2 9/22/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA Daily % Change with +/- 2 Std. Deviation Bands Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals ✓ ... 15 9/22/2026 MSCI Brazil ETF: EWZ 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals -20% correction out of the way ahead of the upcoming election, and now with the 50- day crossing back above the 200-day... ...
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Shifting Constructive. Calmer Week Ahead?:
Sep 21, 2026 As our colleague Don Rissmiller put it in his post-FOMC note (here): "This does not look like the beginning of an aggressive rate hike cycle." ETF Description Sep 4, 2026 Sep 11, 2026 Sep 18, 2026 SPY S&P 500 0.11% -0.77% -0.09% XLK ... We would prefer to take advantage of low levels of implied volatility for asymmetric bullish positioning at the sector/single-stock level, with Tech/AI in favor. We would point to examples of bullish ETF plays featured in our colleague Todd ...
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