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Financial Repression and Stock Prices:
Sep 1, 2026 ... Sam and corporate America remain restrained but persistent and potentially growing inflation due to the war may render real interest rates too low rather than too high. 9. Widening credit spreads ✓ ✓ x High-yield and investment grade credit spreads remain tight by any historical standard. 2. Heavy inflows into equity market funds ✓ ✓ ✓ Elevated flows into Equity ETFs reflect not only broad bullish sentiment but also a structural transition away from mutual funds. ...
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Always Better Playing with a Lead, Test Coming For Small vs. Large, & Some
Surprising Charts:
Sep 1, 2026 ... / Oversold Overbought, but now against the backdrop of an uptrend. Latest move > $506 recovers about 3/4ths of decline. 7/31/25 6/25/26 ✓ 6-month relative high. WILL THIS FOLLOW MSFT's LEAD? Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 10 9/1/2026 Mag 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals MAGS has largely been off the playing field since last Fall. That said, a break & hold > $70 would improve the chart here. ?? ...
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As August Ends, All Eyes on Job Numbers and September Seasonality:
Aug 31, 2026 By contrast, the S&P 500 equal weight index finished the week down -0.46%, and the Russell 2000 ended down -1.51%. Interestingly, semiconductors, as measured by the SMH ETF, finished the week down -1.30%, as NVDA gave back most of its ... Crude oil also remains well supported amid the ongoing conflict with Iran. It will also be interesting to see whether software can sustain last week's momentum, after the Software ETF IGV posted its best day since April 9, 2025, rising ...
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Video Slides:
Aug 28, 2026 ... COPPER CHART CONTINUES TO LOOK GREAT Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 15 8/28/2026 LME Copper 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals It's really been about a 9-month consolidation in this uptrend for Copper... now resolving higher. COPPER STOCKS INFLECTING Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 16 8/28/2026 Global X Copper Miners ETF: COPX 50 & 200-Day MA COPX Relative to S&P 500 Positive / ...
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Aug. Market Balance Sheet: All About A.I. and Productivity:
Aug 28, 2026 One building block of market performance that worries us more this month than last is sentiment. Heavy ETF flows into growth-oriented sectors and ... largely chasing upside, elevated equity ETF flows, and a rebound in levered ETF AUM. This is rarely a timing mechanism but is a potential headwind for markets heading into September. ... This Year, But Equities Still Aren't Cheap By Most Metrics Leveraged ETF Notional Amount Level Elevated Relative to History EV/Sales Shiller CAPE ...
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Follow Through From Metals, Neglected Healthcare Stock Bottoming, & Two
More "Contra" Ideas:
Aug 26, 2026 & TWO MORE "CONTRA" IDEAS Since the 7/29 FOMC meeting, the XME (Metals & Mining ETF) has been among the best-performing securities out there, up nearly +25%. ... With that in mind, we've been noting the persistent strength from the Singapore ETF (EWS) on these pages... it's a financials- heavy index (helpful) of which ... Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 11 8/26/2026 Singapore ETF: EWS 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend ...
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Metals Doing the Talking:
Aug 25, 2026 COPPER CHART CONTINUES TO LOOK GREAT Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 3 8/25/2026 LME Copper 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals ✓ It's really been about a 9-month consolidation in this uptrend for Copper... now resolving higher. COPPER STOCKS INFLECTING Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. 4 8/25/2026 Global X Copper Miners ETF: COPX 50 & 200-Day MA COPX Relative to S&P 500 Positive / ...
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Eventful Week, Calm Markets:
Aug 24, 2026
ETF Description Aug 7, 2026 Aug 14, 2026 Aug 21, 2026 SPY S&P 500 3.51% 0.40% -1.37% XLK Technology 7.20% 1.09% -3.53% XLY Cons. Disc. 3.25% -1.38% -0.15% XLC ... The main action, however, was in cryptocurrencies, which staged a powerful rally. The bitcoin ETF IBIT saw call options volume above 1.3M on Thursday and Friday ... recently, in cryptocurrencies, with record daily call activity in the Bitcoin ETF IBIT. We continue to like October calls outright or call spreads in both, as ...
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Debasement, Flows, & ETFs To Know:
Aug 24, 2026 80% 90% 100% '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 Equity ETF Flows Percentile 1-Year Lookback Prepared by Baird Strategas LLC, FINRA member. Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute. See Appendix for Important Disclosures. ETF Research Monday, August 24, 2026 Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@bairdstrategas.com DEBASEMENT IS BACK: ETFs TO KNOW Gold and Bitcoin reflect ease of ETFs. The hallmarks of the ETF ecosystem are transparency, efficient access to (nearly) any ...
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Modest Trim to Equities, Adding Fixed Income Duration & Real Asset Exposure:
Aug 21, 2026 ... 7% - - iShares Gold Trust (IAU) Commodities 27% 3% - - Aberdeen Standard All Commodity ETF (BCI) Agriculture 18% 2% Invesco DB Agriculture (DBA) 100% 12% 100% 10% * Strategas' ... Allocation SMA Portfolio Exposures Dev AC Core 24% 14% 26% 16% iShares MSCI EAFE Core ETF (IEFA) US LC Growth 24% 14% 27% 16% iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) US LC Value 22% 13% 19% 11% iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) EM AC Core 12% 7% 11% 7% iShares MSCI EM Core ETF (IEMG) US LC Core 8% 5% 12% 7% ...
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