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Don't Count Your Hawks Before They Hatch:
Jun 18, 2026 We like using shorter duration call spreads to play sectors that have been spot up vol up such as semiconductors. We like downside structures in USO (we know it's becoming harder) to play a break in crude, but prefer options to shorting the outright physical or ETFs. We like hedging portfolios at the S&P and Nasdaq levels. 06/18/26 Strategas Securities - Equity Derivatives Strategy PROPRIETARY INFORMATION - PLEASE DO NOT REDISTRIBUTE 3 APPENDIX - IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES - ...
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1st Warsh Meeting... 52-Week Low For The Curve, 52-Week High For The $:
Jun 18, 2026 ... BIOTECH BROKE OUT YESTERDAY Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 13 6/18/2026 Biotech ETF: XBI 50 & 200-Day MA XBI Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals ✓ Nothing from rates deterring Biotech. MEANWHILE, MAG 7 REMAINS AMONG WEAKER AREAS OF MARKET Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 14 6/18/2026 MAG 7 ETF: MAGS 50 & 200-Day MA MAGS Relative to S&P 500 ...
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It's Not About Rates, It's About The Balance Sheet:
Jun 17, 2026 ... WITH HIGHER RATES IS CRUSHING THE HOUSING SECTOR... ...BUT HOUSING REMAINS A TAILWIND FOR OFFSETTING GOODS INFLATION INCREASES -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Mar-24 Jul-24 Nov-24 Mar-25 Jul-25 Nov-25 Mar-26 Homebuilders ETF rel S&P 500 & # of Rate Cuts Priced in Through June '27 XHB rel S&P 500 Rate Cuts Priced In (Right Axis) -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% '86 '90 '94 '98 '02 '06 '10 '14 '18 '22 '26 Case-Shiller Home ...
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Networks & Nodes For the Long-Term; Strait of Hormuz Throughput in the
Short-Term:
Jun 17, 2026 ... A good measure of the market's collective view on valuation is the proliferation of/demand loop for 2x and 3x levered single-stock ETFs. 6/... Trust (IAU) Commodities 25% 3% - - Aberdeen Standard All Commodity ETF (BCI) Agriculture 20% 2% Invesco DB Agriculture (DBA) 100% 11% 100% ... Exposures Dev AC Core 24% 14% 26% 16% iShares MSCI EAFE Core ETF (IEFA) US LC Growth 24% 14% 27% 16% iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) US LC Value 22% 13% 19% 11% iShares S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE) EM ...
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2026 Republican & Democratic Midterm Election Baskets:
Jun 16, 2026 ... As a result, traditional gambling websites that must abide by state gambling laws and regulations could benefit from the removal of competition. DKNG DraftKings State Budget MUB iShares Municipal Bond ETF If Democrats succeed in punting Medicaid changes and providing more SNAP funds, state budgets will be a beneficiary as they won't have to make up for a shortfall in funding. AGO Assured Guaranty HYD VanEck HY Muni Bond ETF Immigration RELY Remitly We would anticipate the ...
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Space ETFs and Thematic Diversification:
Jun 16, 2026 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 Thematic ETF Flows Rolling 65-Day Sum, $MM Strategas ETF Research See Appendix for Important Disclosures ETF Research Tuesday, June 16, 2026 Strategas ETF Research Todd Sohn, CMT (646) 292-7958 tsohn@strategasrp.com Mid-June brings rebalancing noise to ETF flows, so here's what else we think you should know: Thematic space starting to resemble 2020 environment. The environment and ...
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After a Shaky Week, Constructive Backdrop Into Warsh's First FOMC:
Jun 15, 2026 the cap-weighted . Mega-cap tech lagged with the Mag7 ETF (MAGS) down -2.41%, while semiconductors outperformed and ... at 17.68 down significantly vs. 21.51 the week before. ETF Description May 29, 2026 Jun 5, 2026 Jun 12, 2026 SPY S&P ...raged-ETF-driven swings. We also maintain a short-term USO downside bias as vol compresses and would roll down bearish June structures. Finally, our colleague Todd Sohn released a note last week featuring call spreads in non-Tech ETFs: IWM, ...
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Rotational Market Lives On:
Jun 15, 2026 Much like the start of the war, there is a lot to monitor as the military engagement draws to a close - as we wrote the weekend of 2/27 when the missiles started to fly, "be particularly alert to what acts differently than intuition might suggest," and we reiterate that approach today. FRESH PRICE + RELATIVE HIGH FOR SMALL-CAPS Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 2 6/15/2026 Russell 2000 ETF: IWM 50 & 200-Day MA IWM ...
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Video Slides:
Jun 12, 2026
ETF: IWM 50 & 200-Day MA IWM Relative to S&P 500 Positive / Negative Trend Signals Consolidating near the recent highs and not losing any relative ground while doing so. Small-caps continue to act well. -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% -$10,000 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Russell 2000 ETF Price Performance Annual ETF Flows ($MM) Annual Small-Cap ETF ...
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5 Quick Observations:
Jun 11, 2026 ... NOW OVERSOLD IN AN UPTREND Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 15 6/11/2026 Brazil ETF: EWZ 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals COLOMBIA ALREADY TURNING UP FROM SIMILAR SETUP Strategas Technical & Macro Research Proprietary Information - Please Do Not Redistribute 16 6/11/2026 Colombia ETF: COLO 50 & 200-Day MA Overbought / Oversold Positive ↑ / Negative ↓ Trend Signals ✓ ...
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